Will Kelly last longer than Scaramucci?

John F. Kelly’s front-stabbing Donald Trump’s new White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci only hours after Trump named the four-star Marine general his chief of staff was a sublime first move. But unlike Ivanka or Jared Kushner, Trump isn’t Dad to Kelly. How long can it be before Kelly’s service doesn’t pleasure the president anymore? Continue reading Will Kelly last longer than Scaramucci?

How Trump Might Use Russia to His Advantage


Assume for a moment that Donald Trump survives the Russia investigation.

Assume first that he doesn’t fire Robert Mueller. Assume then, as seems increasingly likely, that Mueller discovers a web of financial entanglements between Trump and Russia, that he can show how Russia thought they had leverage over Trump and used every weapon in their cyber arsenal to get him elected.

But also assume that Mueller was unable to find any smoking gun evidence that Trump, his family or his campaign coordinated with the Kremlin beyond the Donald Jr. meeting we now know took place.

Will this benefit or harm the President politically as he moves toward reelection in 2020?

Continue reading How Trump Might Use Russia to His Advantage

Will Pence pardon Trump?


Bullies like Trump are cowards at heart. However appealing he finds sliming his prosecutors like a stressed hagfish, the thought of running away to spend more time with his 9-iron might prove irresistible. Would Pence trade the Oval Office for Trump’s holding his resignation hostage to a pardon?
br> Continue reading Will Pence pardon Trump?

Donald Trump in Poland


On 6 July President Trump gave a hefty speech in Warsaw.

If anyone is looking for a speech down the ages by a foreign leader that plays to Poland’s pride and self-esteem far beyond any reasonable limits, this is that speech. President Trump lays it on thick, and gets a warm response.

Continue reading Donald Trump in Poland

Roget’s Trumpasaurus


“What is the first word that comes to mind when you think of Donald Trump?”

That’s the open-ended question a Quinnipiac poll asked Americans in May. The No. 1 answer: “idiot.”

Have you seen anything since then that would move the needle away from “idiot”? Or from “ignorant” (the ninth most frequent answer), or “stupid” (12th )?

Continue reading Roget’s Trumpasaurus