Endure

There are many in this country who are shell-shocked, angry, aghast, and, yes, afraid of what the future holds in this moment. This nation stands on the precipice of great, unknown challenges, and the specter of the impending Trump presidency looms over all of us.

But as I watch in disappointment and pain and anger as a man I find to be impossibly unqualified for president sweeps the electoral map, I have steeled myself to this commitment:

I shall not be afraid of this man. I shall endure.

Continue reading Endure

No, Superdelegates Aren’t Stealing the Election

superdelegatesSuperdelegates are not mysterious, hidden figures, manipulating strings behind the scenes: They’re people like Governor John Hickenlooper of Colorado and Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey, who are established politicians that have to answer to the base if they want a future in the party. Defying a clear victory in the delegate count is a poor way to foster goodwill among ones supporters.

Continue reading No, Superdelegates Aren’t Stealing the Election

Good luck Trumps all

trumpAmerican University student reporters sat in a Manchester Best Western, compiling clips from a Jeb Bush rally, a Chris Christie speech and a Democratic fundraiser. Many had quotes from local voters and a select few had interviews with state senators and other surrogates.

No one, however, had managed to attend one of the rare Trump events and capture the flurry of activity that normally accompanies the candidate. Continue reading Good luck Trumps all

The Outsiders

Ted CruzFor about a month, reporters and pundits have been heralding surges of support for outsider candidates like Senator Bernie Sanders, Senator Ted Cruz, and everyone’s favorite bombastic billionaire, Donald Trump. Based on the flood of news stories predicting insurgent victories, readers might believe that Trump and Cruz are the only Republicans left and that Sanders is about to deliver the knockout punch to Clinton’s glass jaw in Iowa and then New Hampshire.

But the truth is considerably murkier. With only a week to go before the Iowa caucuses, the political landscape remains as tumultuous and unsettled as ever, and these surge storylines may ultimately hurt the outsider candidates in the long road to the nomination for a number of reasons.
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Editor’s Desk: FiveThirtyEight’s Perfect Republican Stump Speech

perfect republican From the Editor

FiveThirtyEight’s emphasis on exploring the use of data led to a recent post by former Republican speechwriter Barton Swaim, who was asked to create the “perfect Republican stump speech” based on commonly available data sources (Pew, Gallup, CBS News, etc). Continue reading Editor’s Desk: FiveThirtyEight’s Perfect Republican Stump Speech